On March 29th, I made some predictions on how the Astros season would go in my post here. I'm going to go through the post and see how close/far off I was.
- Oswalt - look for Oswalt to hit the 20 win mark again. He's still one of the most dominant pitchers in baseball and with some extra run support this year, should have a little easier time.
Well, that didn't really turn out how I expected. Roy was dominate like normal, but the improved run support I hoped for just wasn't there. Roy ended with 15 wins and the NL's 2nd best ERA of 2.98
- Pettitte - Pettitte had a great season last year but was question mark at the start of the season due to previous injuries. Look for Andy to have a season comparable to last season with maybe 3-4 wins more due to more maturity in the Astros batting order. He'll be right around the 20 win mark this season.
Pettitte had a rough start to the year having his ERA well over 5 for a good portion of it. He started pitching well at the 2nd half of the season lowering his ERA to 4.20 and 14 wins.
- Backe - Backe is too streaky. I think this will be his make or break season. If he can show the brilliance he's shown in the post season, during the regular season then he has the chance to win 15-20 games. If he continues to be streaky then he'll be fighting for his job come late season. He needs to get his ERA under 4.00 and work on keeping the ball down and keep it in the park.
Backe didn't have much of a season. He was out most of the season with arm troubles only make 8 appearances on the season. When he did pitch, he pitched pretty well, winning 4 games with a 3.77 ERA. Backe is now looking to miss most if not all of next season after undergoing Tommy John surgery.
- Catcher - Brad Ausmus - Brad will be behind the plate again this year. Expect a gold glove caliber year defensively and around a .250 batting avg. He'll hit 8-10 home runs this year and like normal will struggle at the start of the season.
Brad hit 2.30 on the season with 2 home runs. He was excellent behind the plate with the best fielding percentage in the National League of all catchers who caught more than 100 games.
- First Base - Lance Berkman - expect Lance to have a big year. A full season with out injuries should be a great thing for the Astros. Lance will hit 35-40 bombs this season with a .300+- batting avg. Playing every day at first should help him stay healthy and improve his numbers at the plate.
Lance had a career year hitting career highs in home runs(45) and RBI's(136) and finished off the season with a .315 average, slugging 621 and on base 4.20. Lance stayed healthy for most of the season playing 152 of 162 games.
- Second Base - Craig Biggio - Bigg's hit his career high in home runs last year. He's getting older, but that doesn't seem to be effecting him much offensively. He's not the greatest defensive 2nd basemen, but he's solid. His arm isn't what it used to be, but he can still turn the 4-6-3 and the 6-4-3 so there's no worries. Look for Biggio to hit 22-24 home runs with a 270's batting avg and start the season at the lead off spot.
Biggio had an off year(due to age?) with his lowest batting average in a full season of .246. He did hit 22 home runs, but his on base % was also a career low at .306. Biggio should be back next season to get his 3000th hit as an Astro and then be able to retire and head to the hall of fame.
- Third Base - Morgan Ensberg - Morgan had a break out year last season and I expect his numbers to increase this year. Look for Mo to hit 35-37 home runs this season with a 280's batting avg.
Oh man was I off on Morgan. Morgan was... bad. He batted .235 on the season and only played 127 games(mostly due to being benched). Not even sure if he's going to be an Astro next season, or if he will be a starter. Only time will tell.
- Short Stop - Adam Everett - Adam's the best defensive shortstop in the National League(maybe in baseball), but his offensive numbers are sub-par. He has the tools to be a great lead off hitter if he learns to watch a few more pitches, and swing at the right pitches. He has a tendency of swinging at balls low and outside which really hurts his batting average. Hopefully Adam will feel some pressure from Burke or Bruntlett and step his offensive game up some. Look for Adam to hit around .250 and steal 10-15 bases this season.
Another poor offensive season for Adam. He batted .239 on the season and only stole 9 bases. He was outstanding again on defense and was 2nd in the league with a .990 fielding % behind Vizquel and turned 105 double plays(good for 3rd in the NL).
- Left Field - Preston Wilson - The Astros main free agent acquisition this year, Wilson should definitely increase the RBI totals from the 2005 Astros. Preston should benefit from the Crawford boxes and possibly hit 30-40 home runs this year. Look for him to strike out 30% of the time and hit for about .265 with 105 RBI's.
P-Dub wasn't the home run/RBI man like he was advertised. He did hit for a .269 average as an Astro(compared to my predicted .265) but only had 9 home runs and 55 RBI's through the first 102 games. He was traded to the Cardinals and finished the last 33 games with them. He ended up with 17 home runs and 72 RBI's on the season. Good riddance.
- Center Field - Willy Taveras - Willy T's a monster on the base paths and has the tools to steal 50+ bases this season. Willy needs to work on his strike outs and take a few more pitches. He really needs to take over the lead off spot from Craig Biggio and let Biggio hit 2nd. If he doesn't increase his on base percentage this year, he'll find himself batting 7th or 8th and possibly losing some playing time to Chris Burke.
Will T did some of what I hoped he would do. He produced 9 more walks and 15 less strike outs on the season and raised his on base % by 8 points. He only stole 33 bases which would have been higher he he attempted any stolen bases at the start of the season. He did finally take over the lead of spot for a good portion of the season and also lost some playing time in center to Chris Burke.
- Right Field - Jason Lane - Jason will benefit this year from not having to worry about losing his spot. He had a nice season last year in his first full season. Jason has the tools to hit 40+ home runs if he can just stay consistent. If Jason can stay consistent, look for him to hit .280 with 35-40 home runs and 110-115 RBI's.
Well, I said if he could stay consistent, he would do well.. but he didn't. He batted on the season for .201 and only hit 15 home runs(though 112 games). He spent some time in Triple-A and would have spent some more time if he would have cleared waivers.
- Bench - Orlando Palmeiro, Eric Bruntlett, Mike Lamb and Chris Burke are the only givens. In my opinion, the 'stros have one of the strongest benches in the majors. Look for Burke to get the most playing time, starting in the outfield and 2nd base. Bruntlett is probably one of the best defensive utility men in baseball with the ability to play every position(minus pitcher/catcher) at an above average/gold glove caliber level. Lamb will get a little time relieving Berkman at first base, and maybe a few games relieving Ensberg at 3rd, but will mainly come in late in the games to pinch hit. Palmeiro is a really consistent pinch hitter and will be used mainly as a pinch hitter in the late innings
Lamb was by far the best bench player... He got quite a bit of time starting this year playing in 126 games between first and third base. He batted .307 on the season and hit 12 home runs. Palmeiro was a pinch hitter for most of his at bats and batted .252 on the season. He really showed his worth in the last week of the season going 6-11 in the last 7 games with 6 RBI's(many to tie the game or put the Astros ahead). Bruntlett didn't play much this season, but when he did, he was alright. He batted .277 with 119 AB's. He also spent some time in triple A.